简介：Iama~*moviefanatic.WhenfriendswanttoknowwhatpicturewontheOscarin1980orwhoplayedthepolicechiefinJawstheyaskme.Myfriends,though,havestoppedaskingmeifIwanttogoouttothemovies.Theproblemsingettingtothetheater,thetheateritself,andthebehaviorofsomepa-

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简介：“Forcedlearning”referstothefactinChinathatsomestudentsareforcedtolearnbyparentsandteachers,regardlessoftheirownwishes.Sometimes,someparentsandteachersevenforcestudentstolearnthroughdisciplinaryactions.Specifically,studentsareimposedinthefollowingfouraspectsbyparentsandteachers:learningtime,learningcontents,learningfrequency,andlearningdifficulty,soitcausedbadconsequencesthatsomestudents’studytooktoomuchtime,coveredexcesscontents,isrepeatedtoomuchandistoodifficult.“Forcinglearning”destroyedthenatureofstudents,overdrewstudents’potential,andharmedstudents’physicalandmentalhealth.Inordertochangethisexistingsituationof“forcedlearning”,parentsandteachersshouldclarifythenatureofknowledgeandbroadenthewaystudentsacquireknowledge,activatestudents’innerstudymotive,andguidethemtolearnconsciouslyandactively,createaharmoniouseducationalenvironment,andmakefulluseofstudents’“children”nature;parentsandteachersstrengthencooperationtogivestudentsscientificguidanceonpsychology,emotion,andlearning.

简介：VarioustypesofgeologicalhazardsexistintheSouthChinaSea.Indynamicssense,theycanbecategorizedinto5principalgenetictypesrelatedtoeffectsofhydraulicdynamics,gaseousactivity,soilmechanics,gravityandtectonism,respectively.Integratedanalysesindicatethatthegeologicalhazardsassociatedwithvolcanoes,earthquakesandfracturesaremainlydistributedintectonicallyactiveregions,whereasthoseresultingfrommudflows,landslidesanddiapirsareusuallyconcentratedintheregionofslope,thatshallowgas,highpressuregaspocketsandsoftintercalationsaremajorpotentialgeologicalhazardsintheinnershelf,andthatstronghydraulicdynamics,especiallystormtide,isoneofthemajorcausesofgeologicalhazardsinthelittoralareas.ThegeologicalhazardsthatoccurredintheSouthChinaSeaarealsocharacterizedbyperiodicity,successionand,toacertainextent,unpredictabilityinadditiontoregionalization.

简介：这份报纸由利用连续辅助covariate信息当主要covariate仅仅为随机选择的subsample被查明时，改进统计推理的效率认为添加剂危险回归是分析。作者为回归参数构造一个基于鞅的估计方程并且建立asymptotic一致性和结果的评估者的规度。模拟学习证明建议方法罐头极大地与在许多背景丢弃辅助covariate信息的评估者相比改进效率。一个真实例子也作为一幅插图被提供。

简介：Recurrenteventsdataandgaptimesbetweenrecurrenteventsarefrequentlyencounteredinmanyclinicalandobservationalstudies,andoftenmorethanonetypeofrecurrenteventsisofinterest.Inthispaper,weconsideraproportionalhazardsmodelformultipletyperecurrentgaptimesdatatoassesstheeffectofcovaxiatesonthecensoredeventprocessesofinterest.Anestimatingequationapproachisusedtoobtaintheestimatorsofregressioncoefficientsandbaselinecumulativehazardfunctions.Weexamineasymptoticpropertiesoftheproposedestimators.Finitesamplepropertiesoftheseestimatorsaredemonstratedbysimulations.

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简介：Coastallowlandshavelargeareasofhazardimpactandrelativelylowcapacityofpreventiontothewaterrelatedhazards,whichhavebeenindicatedbythewide-spreadfloodhazards,highpercentagesoflandwithhighfloodvulnerability.Increasingpopulationpressureandtheshiftofresourcesexploitationfromlandtoseawillforcemoreandmorecoastallowlandstobedevelopedinthefuture,furtherenhancingthedangerofwater-relatedhazards.Inthispaper,thecoastallowlandsinthenorthernJiangsuprovince,China,wereselectedasacasestudy.TheInterpretationStructuralModel(ISM)wasemployedtoanalyzethedirectandindirectimpactsamongtheelementswithinthesystem,andthereby,toidentifythecausalelements,middlelinkages,theirexpressions,andrelations.

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简介：Manysurvivalstudiesrecordthetimestotwoormoredistinctfailuresoneachsubject.Thefailuresmaybeeventsofdifferentnaturesormayberepetitionsofthesamekindofevent.Inthisarticle,weconsidertheregressionanalysisofsuchmultivariatefailuretimedataundertheadditivehazardsmodel.Simpleweightedestimatingfunctionsfortheregressionparametersareproposed,andasymptoticdistributiontheoryoftheresultingestimatorsarederived.Inaddition,aclassofgeneralizedWaldandgeneralizedscorestatisticsforhypothesistestingandmodelselectionarepresented,andtheasymptoticpropertiesofthesestatisticsareexamined.

简介：Generalizedcase-cohortdesignhasbeenprovedtobeacost-effectivewaytoenhancetheefficiencyoflargeepidemiologicalcohort.Inthisarticle,weproposeaninferenceprocedureforestimatingtheunknownparametersinCox’sproportionalhazardsmodelingeneralizedcase-cohortdesignandestablishanoptimalsamplesizeallocationtoachievethemaximumpoweratagivenbudget.Thefinitesampleperformanceoftheproposedmethodisevaluatedthroughsimulationstudies.TheproposedmethodisappliedtoarealdatasetfromtheNationalWilm’sTumorStudyGroup.

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简介：应付事件和它气候引起的相关气候的灾难改变的极端气候成为了一个全球问题并且从科学家，决策者和公众引起了宽注意。计算的这份报纸包括热带气旋，洪水，山崩，暴风雨巨浪，沙灰尘暴风雨，干旱，热浪，冷波浪和野火基于九气候的危险的结果期望年度多重气候的危险紧张索引。然后与死亡率，影响人口率和GDP损失率包含处理能力指示物的一个危险模型，被开发估计期望的年度影响人口，死亡和GDP损失风险。结果显示出那：有最高的风险的国家也是有大人口或GDP的国家。为了实质地减少全球全部的气候的危险，冒险，这些国家应该减少暴露并且改进综合气候的风险的统治；没有考虑全部的暴露，有高死亡的国家评价，影响人口率或GDP损失率，也有更高或更低的处理能力，孟加拉国和越南，是为气候的灾难风险减小计划并且策略做的热点并且应该集中于支持处理能力。

简介：WeiheGraben是在中国而且一个重要活跃地震地区的重要新生代差错盆不仅。Huashan山麓差错是WeiheGraben的东南方面上的一个重要活跃差错并且自从新生代，是高度活跃的。1556的著名大Huaxian县地震发生在Huashan山麓差错上。这地震，夺走约830000个人的生活，是知道发生在一个高角度的正常差错上的很少大地震之一。Huashan山麓差错是能被用来学习构造活动和联系危险的一个典型活跃正常差错。在这研究，类型和特征，沿着这个差错的近来第四级的变丑从地质的调查，历史的研究和全面分析被讨论。根据它的特征和活动，差错能被划分成三节，也就是东方、中央、西方。东方、西方的节显示正常滑倒。强烈变丑沿着二节发生了在期间第四级；然而，没有变丑发生在Holocene期间。中央节经历了重要高角度的正常差错活动在期间第四级，包括Holocene。由差错的Holocene冲积扇子和黄土切割沿着Huashan山麓差错地区的中央节在Huashan山的许多溪流山谷的嘴被识别了。Huashan山麓差错的三节，中央节是最活跃并且是很活跃的在期间晚第四级。正常蘸滑倒的率是1.67-2.71牯慧楮?慷汬摥洠捩潲潦獳汩?潣獮獩楴杮漠?楦慬敭瑮畯?祣湡扯捡整楲?愠杬污挠敯潮楢?湡?捡湡桴浯牯桰捩愠牣瑩牡档栠癡?敢湥搠'覜蠝Ｕ?牦浯渠湯'蹜T敲畯?汣祡瑳湯獥愠摮洠摵瑳湯獥漠?桴?敐灰牥?畯瑮楡獮匠慨敬?牯慭楴湯????氠'椰嫇?瑩?瑳慲潴祴数愠敲?湩琠敨倠灥数?潍湵慴湩?眠楨档愠敲瀠牡?景琠敨?汯?牃獯?潍湵慴湩?湩倠汯湡吗？

简介：The26thDecember2004earthquakeofMw9.3isthesecondlargestearthquakeevertohavebeenrecorded.ThisgeneratedatsunamiwhichaffectedseveralAsiancountries.InIndia,theAndaman&Nicobargroupofislands,andcoastalstatesofTamilNadu,AndhraPradeshandKeralawereseverelyaffected.Here,webrieflyprovideanoutlineoftheapproachtakenbyIndiaforanearlywarningsystemformitigationofoceanogenicdisasters.

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