简介:Anintelligentsecuritysystemsengineeringapproachisusedtoanalyzefireandexplosivecriticalincidents,agrowingconcerninurbancommunities.Afeed-forwardback-propagationneuralnetworkmodelsthedamagesarisingfromthesecriticalincidents.Theoverallgoalistopromotefiresafetyandsustainablesecurity.Theintelligentsecuritysystemsengineeringpredictionmodelusesafullyconnectedmultilayerneuralnetworkandconsidersanumberoffactorsrelatedtothefireorexplosiveincidentincludingthetypeofpropertyaffected,thetimeofday,andtheignitionsource.ThenetworkwastrainedonalargenumberofcriticalincidentrecordsreportedinToronto,Canadabetween2000and2006.Ourintelligentsecuritysystemsengineeringapproachcanhelpemergencyrespondersbyimprovingcriticalincidentanalysis,sustainablesecurity,andfireriskmanagement.
简介:InthewakeoftheSeptember11,2001terroristattacks,thereisagrowingsenseofinsecurityfeltbymanycitizensaroundtheworld.Sustainablesecurity,withrootsinthesustainabledevelopmentandhumansecurityliterature,seekspositivetransformationsfortheco-evolvingandmutuallydependenthuman-environmentalconditionbyintegrating(andsubsuming)national,human,environmental,andenergysecurityconcernsandcapitalizingonopportunitiesprovidedbyhumancreativity,diplomaticopenings,modernizationandenvironmentalchange.ThefieldofSustainableSecuritySystemsEngineeringisproposedforprotecting,restoring,designing,andimplementingasetofintegratednaturalandman-madeprocessesthatequitablyandresponsiblymeetthebiophysicalneedsofhumancommunities,whilemaintaininglong-termsecurity,respectingfinancialconstraints,meetingecologicallimits,andimprovinginstitutionalarrangementsfortransparentandeffectivegovernance.Scenarioplanningisshowntohelppromotesustainablesecuritybyidentifyingthepreconditionsofinstabilityandhelpingtoproactivelyaddresstheminanincreasinglycomplexanduncertainworld.Thesixpaperspublishedinthisfeaturedcollectioncrosspolicydomains,geographic,political,andsectoralboundariesandwerediscussedatforumssponsoredbytheSystemsEngineeringandGlobalPolicygroup.Collectively,theydemonstratethequality,breadthanddepthofsystemsengineeringmethodologiesthatareusedtopromotesustainablesecurity.
简介:Theworldpost-9/11ischaracterisedbyuncertainty,fearandsuspicion.Psychologicalconfrontationsamplifiedbythemassmediahaveevencometodominatephysicalengagementsbetweenwarringparties.Dramatheoryprovidesapowerfulframeworkforunderstandingtheseinteractionsinmuchthewaythatgametheorywasabletosupportstrategymakingbyautonomousplayersinalessinter-connectedera.Amodelofthe'normal'processleadingtodramaticresolutionisanessentialfeatureofthedramatheoryapproachandisdescribedhere.Howeverthisprocesscanbederailedorfailinmanyways.Thispaperreviewsmanyofthesesystemicpathologiesandillustratessomeofthemthroughconsiderationofthreehigh-profilecases.Theconclusionisthatitisimportanttorecogniseandpossiblytousepathologicalbehaviorasanelementofacharacter'sinteractionstrategy.
简介:Aformalpolicydevelopmentframework,basedonasystemofsystems(SoS)approach,issynthesizedtosystematicallyaddress,inanintegrativeandadaptivefashion,majorglobalchallenges,suchasthecurrentfoodandfinancialcrises,andtheirinteractionswithotherkeynatural,societal,andtechnologicalsystems.ASoSapproachseekstorespectthedifferentvaluesystemsofmultipleparticipants,toharnesscomplexitythrougheffectiveintegration,andtoengagetheworldofuncertaintyandunpredictabilitywithanadaptiveresponse.Facedwiththepresentglobalchallenges,whatisneededarestrategicandoperationalmethodswhichleadtoethicalpolicies,enhanceintegrativeandadaptivemanagementpractices,andareabletodirectconflictresolutioninapositivedirection.Policymakersneedtoolstomodelandanalyzecomplexsystemswhichtheyaretryingtoresponsiblygovern,takingintoaccountvaluesandriskstodesignandevaluatedifferentpolicies.ApreliminaryinvestigationintotheglobalfoodsystemisundertakentounderstandtheSoSandtoprovideinsightsonhowtocarryoutpolicydevelopmentusingtheproposedframework.
简介:Theutilizationofdecisionsupportsystemswhichareflexibleenoughtohandleinformationaboutcooperativebehaviorandstakeholderattitudesareusefulforanalyzingcomplexsocialconflicts.OnesuchconflictwhicharosefromtheredevelopmentofaprivatebrownfieldpropertyinKitchener,Ontario,Canadaisexaminedusingsuchadecisionsupporttool.Specifically,aformalmodelreferredtoasCOATwhichallowsfortheexaminationofconflictswithbothcoalitionandattitudepropertiesisrigorouslydefinedandthenimplementedwithintheframeworkoftheGraphModelforConflictResolutioninorderthatinsightsmaybegainedonhowthedecisionmakerscanreachwin-winresolutions.
简介:Whilegametheoretictoolshavebeenwidelyappliedtonuclearproliferationanddisarmamentissues,traditionaldecisionanalysisassumesthatdecisionmakers,options,andpreferencesarefixed.Adramatheoreticapproachisusedtoovercometheselimitingassumptions:DramaTheory(DT)Ⅱallowsgloballeadersandnationalsecuritypolicymakerstoengageinarational-emotionalprocessofre-defininginternationalsecuritynegotiations(andtheir'positions'inthem)untilagreementonasatisfactorynuclearnon-proliferationresolutionisreached.The2009nuclearenergynegotiationsbetweenIranandworldpowersaremodeledwithDTⅡandtheConfrontationManagerTMDecisionSupportSystem.Byadjustingstrategyandderivingtransformativesecuritypolicy,itisshownhowinternationalsecuritycanbeachievedbypromotingnuclearnon-proliferationandresolvingstrategicconflict.
简介:Threemajorthreatstooceansecurityandcoastalzonesustainability-globalwarming,thelossofoceanbiodiversity,andpollution-arecombiningtothreatentheecologicalintegrityofourmarineenvironmentandlifesupportsystems.Weputforwardageomatics-basedsystemsengineeringarchitecturetoidentifythelocationandextentofoilspills,therebyimprovingtheecologicalintegrityoftheworld'soceansandhelpingcontingencyplannerstodeterminerequiredassets,personnelandotherresources.Thisreal-time,event-basedandcosteffectiveemergencymanagementdecisionsupportsystemcanaidintheclassification,detection,andmonitoringofoilspillsinthemarineenvironment.ThedevelopedSynthetic-ApertureRadar(SAR)processingandcalibrationtechniquesefficientlymonitorenvironmentalchangesininaccessibleoceanregions,characterizeoilspillscenarios,andhelptoidentifyspillsources.ThesystemisusedtoimproveemergencymanagementintheGulfofMexico,withapplicationtooilspillsarisingfromHurricaneKatrina.
简介:WeputforthDramaTheoryⅡ(DTⅡ)asaformalmultipleparticipantdecisionmakingframeworkthatcanbeusedtosystematicallymodelcomplexsecuritychallenges,andadvancethefieldofSustainableSecuritySystemsEngineering.DTⅡisdefinedasatheoryof'largeworld'pre-gamecommunicationandequilibriumselection.Whilegametheoretictoolshavebeenwidelyappliedtoresolveenvironmentalconflictsandpromoteglobalsecurity,traditionalgametheoryassumesthatdecisionmakers,options,andpreferencesarefixed.Amathematicaltreatmentofkeydramatheoreticconcepts(i.e.positions,intentions,doubtsanddilemmas)isprovided.Thedynamicsofthedramatheoreticprocessarediscussedandtheexpectedequilibriumsetisderived.Thefundamentaltheoremofdramatheoryisprovenandalltheoreticalresultsareappliedtopromotesustainablesecuritysolutions.ItisemphasizedthatDTⅡrepresentsaflexiblesystemsengineeringtechniquetoaddresstime-sensitive,multi-faceted,andcomplexmultipleparticipantnegotiations.
简介:当时,这篇论文论述在承诺的产生单位之中决定力量需求的分配的方法论象会一样最小化目的数字物理;技术系统限制。过程认为二是在他们的目标的相关性之上基于活跃力量或反应发电的decoupled问题。两个都,这些问题顺序被解决了完成最佳的分配活跃;反应发电当时最小化操作花费的、气体的污染物质排放目的;有与发电机一起操作限制的系统的考虑的活跃力量传播损失禁止了操作地区;传播线流动限制。活跃;反应力量线流动在概括产生移动分发因素(GGDF)的帮助下被获得;分别地概括了Z公共汽车分发因素(GZBDF)。当采用weighting方法时,第一个问题在分到目的最好的重量是坚定的多客观的在框架被解决;处于第二个问题,系统的活跃力量损失是到系统限制的最小化的题目。建议方法的有效性在30公共汽车IEEE力量系统上被表明。