简介:Inthispaper,anewdefinitionofstructuresystemredundancyisproposedinviewofthevariousmeasuresforstructureredundancy.Byintroducingthetermsofstructuresystemfailureatthemechanismlevelandequivalentreliabilityindex,thesafetyforexistingoffshoreplatformscanbeevaluatedbythesemi-probabilisticmethodpresentedinthispaper.Somenumericalexamplesaregivenandsatisfactoryresultshavebeenobtained.
简介:Thestochasticmodelsoftheusualjointsarefirstestablishedthroughintro-ducingtheconceptsof“clearancecharacteristicelement”and“clearancespace”.Afterde-rivingtheprobabilitydensityfunctionofthejointclearanceandmakingtheprobabilisticanalysisoftheresultedkinematicerrors,thesamplingformulasoftheindependentvaria-blesofthejointclearancesarefurtherdeduced.ThroughMonteCarlosimulation,thesta-tisticalcharacteristicsandfrequencyhistogramsofthekinematicerrorsarethenanalysedoncomputer.
简介:TheLeray-Schaudertopologicaldegreetheoryisestablishedintheprobabilisticlinearnormedspaces.Based.onthistheory,somefixedpointtheoremsformappingsintheprobabilisticlinearnormedspacesareshown.
简介:Thesecurityofthesymmetricprobabilisticencryptionschemebasedonchaoticattractorsofneuralnetworksisanalyzedanddiscussed.Firstly,thekeyuniquenessisprovedbyanalyzingtherotationtransformmatrixtoavoidtheattackoftheequivalentkey.Secondly,thedistributeduniformityofthenumbers'0'and'1'inthecorrespondingattractingdomainforeverychaoticattractorisanalyzedbythestatisticsmethod.Itistestifiedthatthedistributeduniformitycanbekeptifthesynapticmatrixoftheneuralnetworkischangedbyastandardpermutationmatrix.Twoannotationsbasedontheresultsaboveareproposedtoimprovetheapplicationsecurityoftheencryptionalgorithm.
简介:ProbabilisticAnalysisandMulticriteriaDecisionforMachineAssignmentProblemwithGeneralServiceTimesWangJing(Inst.ofSys.Eng.,Dalia...
简介:Thenon-probabilisticreliabilityinhigherdimensionalsituationscannotbecalculatedefficientlyusingtraditionalmethods,whicheitherrequirealargeamountofcalculationorcausesignificanterror.Inthisstudy,anefficientcomputationalmethodisproposedforthecalculationofnon-probabilisticreliabilitybasedonthevolumeratiotheory,specificallyforlinearstructuralsystems.Thecommonexpressionfornon-probabilisticreliabilityisobtainedthroughformuladerivationwiththeamountofcomputationconsiderablyreduced.Thecompatibilitybetweennon-probabilisticandprobabilisticsafetymeasuresisdemonstratedthroughtheMonteCarlosimulation.Thehighefficiencyofthepresentedmethodisverifiedbyseveralnumericalexamples.
简介:ThepotentialfordevastatingearthquakesintheHimalayanorogenyhaslongbeenrecognized.The2015MW7.8Gorkha,Nepalearthquakehasheightenedthelikelihoodthatmajorearthquakeswilloccuralongthisorogenicbeltinthefuture.Reliableseismichazardassessmentisacriticalelementindevelopmentofpolicyforseismichazardmitigationandriskreduction.Inthisstudy,weconductprobabilisticseismichazardassessmentusingthreedifferentseismogenicsourcemodels(smoothedgridded,linear,andarealsources)basedonthecomplicatedtectonicsofthestudyarea.Twosetsofgroundmotionpredictionequationsarecombinedinastandardlogictreebytakingintoaccounttheepistemicuncertaintiesinhazardestimation.Long-termslipratesandpaleoseismicrecordsarealsoincorporatedinthelinearsourcemodel.Peakgroundaccelerationandspectralaccelerationat0.2sand1.0sfor2%and10%probabilitiesofexceedancein50yearsareestimated.Theresultingmapsshowsignificantspatialvariationinseismichazardlevels.TheregionoftheLesserHimalayaisfoundtohavehighseismichazardpotential.AlongtheMainHimalayanThrustfromeasttowestbeneaththeMainCentralThrust,largeearthquakeshaveoccurredregularlyinhistory;hazardvaluesinthisregionarefoundtobehigherthanthoseshownonexistinghazardmaps.Inessence,thecombinationoflongspanearthquakecatalogsandmultipleseismogenicsourcemodelsgivesimprovedseismichazardconstraintsinNepal.
简介:一个新奇概率的模糊控制系统被建议在控制协议(TCP)联网的传播对待拥挤回避问题。TCP网络的交通测量上的研究证明了包交通展出称为自我类似的长期的依赖性质,它降级网络表演极大地。概率的模糊控制(陆军)系统被用来在网络系统处理自我类似的交通和当模特儿的不确定性的复杂随机的特征。一三维(3-D)会员功能(MF)在PFC被嵌入表示并且描述网络交通的随机的特征。3-DMF延长了传统模糊平面印射并且进一步提供在“fuzziness-randomness-state”之中的空间印射。3-DMF的另外的随机的表示提供PFC处理自我类似的交通的随机的特征的另外的自由。模拟实验证明建议控制方法在随机的环境与传统的控制计划相比完成优异性能。
简介:Withtheglobalwarmingandsealevelrising,itiswidelyrecognizedthatthereisanincreasingtendencyoftyphoonoccurrencefrequencyandintensity.Thedefensescodeagainsttyphoonattacksfornuclearpowerplantshouldbecalibratedbecauseoftheincreasingthreatoftyphoondisasterandsevereconsequences.Thispaperdiscussestheprobabilisticapproachofdefinitionsabout'probablemaximumtyphoon'and'probablemaximumstormsurge'innuclearsafetyregulationsofChinaandhasmadesomedesigncodecalibrationsbyuseofanewlyproposedDoubleLayerNestedMulti-objectiveProbabilityModel(DLNMPM).
简介:Inthispaper,theStěckin-MarchaudineoualitvforLupas-Kantorovichprobabilistictypeoperatorisestablished.Andtheinvetsetheoretnofthisapproximationprocessisalsoobtained.
简介:Recentstudiesonassessmentofaverylowannualprobabilityofexceeding(APE)groundmotions,10-4orless,havehighlightedtheimportanceoftheupperboundofgroundmotionswhenverylowprobabilityresultsareacquired.Thetruncationleveladoptedinprobabilisticseismichazardanalysis(PSHA)shouldbedeterminedbyanaleatoryuncertaintymodel(i.e.,distributionmodel)ofgroundmotionsandthepossiblemaximumandminimumgroundmotionvaluesofaspecificearthquake.However,atthepresenttime,itisimpossibletoestablishtheupperboundmodelforgroundmotionsbasedonthesourcecharacteristicsand/orgroundmotionpropagation.McGuiresuggestedatruncationlevelbefixedatanumberof=6,orthedistributionofresidualsbetruncatedinsuchamannerthatsiteintensitycannotbegreaterthantheepicenterintensity.ThisstudyaimstofindareasonableandfeasibletruncationleveltobeusedinPSHAwhenthephysicalmechanismisnotavailabletofindtheextremegroundmotion.AmathematicalanalysisoftheinfluenceofthetruncationlevelonPSHA,casestudiesofsitesindifferentseismotectonicsettings,andadistributionanalysisofgroundmotionresidualsareconductedinthisstudy.Itisconcludedthat=4istheminimumacceptablevalueforengineeringapplicationsforAPEswithin0.002to10-4,andforlowAPEs,suchas10-5and10-6,thevalueofshouldbenolessthan5inmostregionsofChina.
简介:在这份报纸,一条直接概率的途径(DPA)被介绍为能是任何一个的环境负担激动的非线性的系统提出并且解决时刻方程一静止或nonstationary随机过程。建议方法有的优点从起始的条件和相应外部刺激的统计特征直接获得回答时刻。首先,回答时刻方程直接基于DPA被导出,它完全独立于它?后来,关于关联的特定的假设都不刺激组织的/filtering途径被做。由在Gaussian闭合下面解决他们,回答时刻能被获得。随后,为时刻方程的数字答案的一个多尺度的算法被利用改进计算效率并且避免许多墙钟时间。最后,有蒙特卡罗(MC)模拟的结果的比较给好同意。而且,多尺度的算法的优点被一个设计例子也以效率表明。
简介:Evaluationofthecyclicshearmodulusofsoilsisacrucialbutchallengingtaskformanygeotechnicalearthquakeengineeringandsoildynamicissues.Improperdeterminationofthispropertyunnecessarilydrivesupdesignandmaintenancecostsorevenleadstotheconstructionofunsafestructures.Duetothecomplexitiesinvolvedinthedirectmeasurement,empiricalcurvesforestimatingthecyclicshearmodulushavebeencommonlyadoptedinpracticeforsimplicityandeconomicalconsiderations.However,asystematicandrobustapproachforformulatingareliablemodelandempiricalcurveforcyclicshearmoduluspredictionforclayeysoilsisstilllacking.Inthisstudy,theBayesianmodelclassselectionapproachisutilizedtoidentifythemostsignificantsoilparametersaffectingthenormalizedcyclicshearmodulusandareliablepredictivemodelfornormallytomoderatelyover-consolidatedclaysisproposed.Resultsshowthatthepredictabilityandreliabilityoftheproposedmodeloutperformsthewell-knownempiricalmodels.Finally,anewdesignchartisestablishedforpracticalusage.