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52 个结果
  • 简介:Inthispaper,anewdefinitionofstructuresystemredundancyisproposedinviewofthevariousmeasuresforstructureredundancy.Byintroducingthetermsofstructuresystemfailureatthemechanismlevelandequivalentreliabilityindex,thesafetyforexistingoffshoreplatformscanbeevaluatedbythesemi-probabilisticmethodpresentedinthispaper.Somenumericalexamplesaregivenandsatisfactoryresultshavebeenobtained.

  • 标签: RESIDUAL strength semi-probabilistic method damaged structure
  • 简介:Thestochasticmodelsoftheusualjointsarefirstestablishedthroughintro-ducingtheconceptsof“clearancecharacteristicelement”and“clearancespace”.Afterde-rivingtheprobabilitydensityfunctionofthejointclearanceandmakingtheprobabilisticanalysisoftheresultedkinematicerrors,thesamplingformulasoftheindependentvaria-blesofthejointclearancesarefurtherdeduced.ThroughMonteCarlosimulation,thesta-tisticalcharacteristicsandfrequencyhistogramsofthekinematicerrorsarethenanalysedoncomputer.

  • 标签: PROBABILITY analysis simuiation/spatial LINKAGE ERROR joint
  • 简介:Thesecurityofthesymmetricprobabilisticencryptionschemebasedonchaoticattractorsofneuralnetworksisanalyzedanddiscussed.Firstly,thekeyuniquenessisprovedbyanalyzingtherotationtransformmatrixtoavoidtheattackoftheequivalentkey.Secondly,thedistributeduniformityofthenumbers'0'and'1'inthecorrespondingattractingdomainforeverychaoticattractorisanalyzedbythestatisticsmethod.Itistestifiedthatthedistributeduniformitycanbekeptifthesynapticmatrixoftheneuralnetworkischangedbyastandardpermutationmatrix.Twoannotationsbasedontheresultsaboveareproposedtoimprovetheapplicationsecurityoftheencryptionalgorithm.

  • 标签: 概率神经网络 混沌吸引子 对称加密 子算法 分布均匀性 注解
  • 简介:ProbabilisticAnalysisandMulticriteriaDecisionforMachineAssignmentProblemwithGeneralServiceTimesWangJing(Inst.ofSys.Eng.,Dalia...

  • 标签: MACHINE ASSIGNMENT PROBLEM QUEUEING model MULTICRITERIA
  • 简介:Thenon-probabilisticreliabilityinhigherdimensionalsituationscannotbecalculatedefficientlyusingtraditionalmethods,whicheitherrequirealargeamountofcalculationorcausesignificanterror.Inthisstudy,anefficientcomputationalmethodisproposedforthecalculationofnon-probabilisticreliabilitybasedonthevolumeratiotheory,specificallyforlinearstructuralsystems.Thecommonexpressionfornon-probabilisticreliabilityisobtainedthroughformuladerivationwiththeamountofcomputationconsiderablyreduced.Thecompatibilitybetweennon-probabilisticandprobabilisticsafetymeasuresisdemonstratedthroughtheMonteCarlosimulation.Thehighefficiencyofthepresentedmethodisverifiedbyseveralnumericalexamples.

  • 标签: 非概率可靠性 可靠性计算 结构系统 线性 蒙特卡洛仿真 公式推导
  • 简介:ThepotentialfordevastatingearthquakesintheHimalayanorogenyhaslongbeenrecognized.The2015MW7.8Gorkha,Nepalearthquakehasheightenedthelikelihoodthatmajorearthquakeswilloccuralongthisorogenicbeltinthefuture.Reliableseismichazardassessmentisacriticalelementindevelopmentofpolicyforseismichazardmitigationandriskreduction.Inthisstudy,weconductprobabilisticseismichazardassessmentusingthreedifferentseismogenicsourcemodels(smoothedgridded,linear,andarealsources)basedonthecomplicatedtectonicsofthestudyarea.Twosetsofgroundmotionpredictionequationsarecombinedinastandardlogictreebytakingintoaccounttheepistemicuncertaintiesinhazardestimation.Long-termslipratesandpaleoseismicrecordsarealsoincorporatedinthelinearsourcemodel.Peakgroundaccelerationandspectralaccelerationat0.2sand1.0sfor2%and10%probabilitiesofexceedancein50yearsareestimated.Theresultingmapsshowsignificantspatialvariationinseismichazardlevels.TheregionoftheLesserHimalayaisfoundtohavehighseismichazardpotential.AlongtheMainHimalayanThrustfromeasttowestbeneaththeMainCentralThrust,largeearthquakeshaveoccurredregularlyinhistory;hazardvaluesinthisregionarefoundtobehigherthanthoseshownonexistinghazardmaps.Inessence,thecombinationoflongspanearthquakecatalogsandmultipleseismogenicsourcemodelsgivesimprovedseismichazardconstraintsinNepal.

  • 标签: Gorkha earthquake PROBABILISTIC SEISMIC HAZARD PEAK
  • 简介:一个新奇概率的模糊控制系统被建议在控制协议(TCP)联网的传播对待拥挤回避问题。TCP网络的交通测量上的研究证明了包交通展出称为自我类似的长期的依赖性质,它降级网络表演极大地。概率的模糊控制(陆军)系统被用来在网络系统处理自我类似的交通和当模特儿的不确定性的复杂随机的特征。一三维(3-D)会员功能(MF)在PFC被嵌入表示并且描述网络交通的随机的特征。3-DMF延长了传统模糊平面印射并且进一步提供在“fuzziness-randomness-state”之中的空间印射。3-DMF的另外的随机的表示提供PFC处理自我类似的交通的随机的特征的另外的自由。模拟实验证明建议控制方法在随机的环境与传统的控制计划相比完成优异性能。

  • 标签: 系统仿真 模糊控制 自动机理论 控制理论
  • 简介:Withtheglobalwarmingandsealevelrising,itiswidelyrecognizedthatthereisanincreasingtendencyoftyphoonoccurrencefrequencyandintensity.Thedefensescodeagainsttyphoonattacksfornuclearpowerplantshouldbecalibratedbecauseoftheincreasingthreatoftyphoondisasterandsevereconsequences.Thispaperdiscussestheprobabilisticapproachofdefinitionsabout'probablemaximumtyphoon'and'probablemaximumstormsurge'innuclearsafetyregulationsofChinaandhasmadesomedesigncodecalibrationsbyuseofanewlyproposedDoubleLayerNestedMulti-objectiveProbabilityModel(DLNMPM).

  • 标签: 台风袭击 概率方法 核电厂 海防 全球气候变暖 海平面上升
  • 简介:Recentstudiesonassessmentofaverylowannualprobabilityofexceeding(APE)groundmotions,10-4orless,havehighlightedtheimportanceoftheupperboundofgroundmotionswhenverylowprobabilityresultsareacquired.Thetruncationleveladoptedinprobabilisticseismichazardanalysis(PSHA)shouldbedeterminedbyanaleatoryuncertaintymodel(i.e.,distributionmodel)ofgroundmotionsandthepossiblemaximumandminimumgroundmotionvaluesofaspecificearthquake.However,atthepresenttime,itisimpossibletoestablishtheupperboundmodelforgroundmotionsbasedonthesourcecharacteristicsand/orgroundmotionpropagation.McGuiresuggestedatruncationlevelbefixedatanumberof=6,orthedistributionofresidualsbetruncatedinsuchamannerthatsiteintensitycannotbegreaterthantheepicenterintensity.ThisstudyaimstofindareasonableandfeasibletruncationleveltobeusedinPSHAwhenthephysicalmechanismisnotavailabletofindtheextremegroundmotion.AmathematicalanalysisoftheinfluenceofthetruncationlevelonPSHA,casestudiesofsitesindifferentseismotectonicsettings,andadistributionanalysisofgroundmotionresidualsareconductedinthisstudy.Itisconcludedthat=4istheminimumacceptablevalueforengineeringapplicationsforAPEswithin0.002to10-4,andforlowAPEs,suchas10-5and10-6,thevalueofshouldbenolessthan5inmostregionsofChina.

  • 标签: 概率地震危险性分析 地震地面运动 地震危险性评估 截断 分配 剩余
  • 简介:在这份报纸,一条直接概率的途径(DPA)被介绍为能是任何一个的环境负担激动的非线性的系统提出并且解决时刻方程一静止或nonstationary随机过程。建议方法有的优点从起始的条件和相应外部刺激的统计特征直接获得回答时刻。首先,回答时刻方程直接基于DPA被导出,它完全独立于它?后来,关于关联的特定的假设都不刺激组织的/filtering途径被做。由在Gaussian闭合下面解决他们,回答时刻能被获得。随后,为时刻方程的数字答案的一个多尺度的算法被利用改进计算效率并且避免许多墙钟时间。最后,有蒙特卡罗(MC)模拟的结果的比较给好同意。而且,多尺度的算法的优点被一个设计例子也以效率表明。

  • 标签: 指导概率的途径 非线性的动态系统 Nonstationary 随机的过程 回答时刻 多尺度的算法
  • 简介:按需的路由协议广泛地在活动特定的网络(MANET)被使用。泛滥是在按需的路由协议发现的路由的一个重要传播计划。然而,在高密度的MANET冗余性,泛滥的包导致电话广播了暴风雨问题(BSP)的表演的戏剧的恶化。为在MANET的路由的一个帮助地点的概率的广播(LAPB)算法被建议减少大量涌入这份报纸生产的路由包的数字。以便减少冗余性包,仅仅在一个特定的区域的节点有概率,由地点信息和邻居知识计算了,宣传路由包。模拟结果证明LAPB算法能在路由发现阶段减少包和发现延期(DD)。

  • 标签: 网络路由 广播算法 位置信息 移动AD 概率 按需路由协议
  • 简介:Evaluationofthecyclicshearmodulusofsoilsisacrucialbutchallengingtaskformanygeotechnicalearthquakeengineeringandsoildynamicissues.Improperdeterminationofthispropertyunnecessarilydrivesupdesignandmaintenancecostsorevenleadstotheconstructionofunsafestructures.Duetothecomplexitiesinvolvedinthedirectmeasurement,empiricalcurvesforestimatingthecyclicshearmodulushavebeencommonlyadoptedinpracticeforsimplicityandeconomicalconsiderations.However,asystematicandrobustapproachforformulatingareliablemodelandempiricalcurveforcyclicshearmoduluspredictionforclayeysoilsisstilllacking.Inthisstudy,theBayesianmodelclassselectionapproachisutilizedtoidentifythemostsignificantsoilparametersaffectingthenormalizedcyclicshearmodulusandareliablepredictivemodelfornormallytomoderatelyover-consolidatedclaysisproposed.Resultsshowthatthepredictabilityandreliabilityoftheproposedmodeloutperformsthewell-knownempiricalmodels.Finally,anewdesignchartisestablishedforpracticalusage.

  • 标签: 剪切模量 循环剪切 固结粘土 概率特性 粘性土壤 预测模型