简介:TheprimarygoalofthedemonstrationprojectendorsedbytheScientificandTechnicalCommitteeforIDNDRin1992istoensurethatnationalagenciesareabletoassessseismichazardinaregionallycoordinatedfashionbyusingadvancedmethods.China,asaRegionalCenterofCentralSouthernAsia,hascontactedwithcountriesoftheregiontorealisticallypracticeseismichazardassessmentsofContinentalAsia.AtestarealocatedinthecollisionboundarybetweentheIndianandEurasianplateswaschosentoexaminetheseismichazardassessmentapproachintheregionalcoordinates.TheseismotectonicsandthreeversionsofseismicsourcesofthetestareaaredescribedinthispaperandundertheGlobalSeismicHazardAssessmentProgram(GSHAP),guidelinesanearthquakecatalogueofthetestareawasassembled.Becauseoftheincompletenessofearthquakedataindifferentcountries,weadoptdifferenttimewindowsfordifferentmagnitudeintervalsinordertoobtaintheseismicityparametersofsources.Byu
简介:ThispaperselectssomerepresentativeregionstoobtaintheirG-Rrelationcurvesaccordingtotheirseismicitycharacteristics,byusingML≥2.0microseismicitydata(1970~1993)inNorthChina.TheannualoccurrencerateofeventsofeachmagnitudecanbeinferredfromtheG-Rrelation.Atthesametune,theactualannualoccurrencerateofearthquakesofhighermagnitudescanbecalculatedfromhistoricalearthquakes(1300-1993)recordedinthesameregion.Itseemsthatbothresultsarealmostthesame.Therefore,therateofeventsofhighermagnitudescanbeobtainedbyusingmicroseismicitydatawhentheproperregionisselected.However,twopointsshouldbenoticed:(1)Themethodcanonlygivetheannualoccurrencerateinaseismicitysystemandestimatethewholesituationofthesystem.(2)Whenthereisaverylargeearthquakeinandneartheperiodinwhichthemicroseismicitydataareapplied,theactualoccurrencerateofthesystem,includingthislargerearthquake,cannotbeobtainedbythismethod.
简介:SynthesizedPoissonandrenewalmodelanditsapplicationinseismichazardanalysisHan-YaoCHEN(陈汉尧)andYu-XianHU(胡聿贤)(InstituteofGeophys...
简介:Theauthorsstudythestructure,functionsanddataorganizationforthehazardanalysissystemofurbanpost-earthquakefireontheplatformofGIS.Ageneralhazardanalysismodelofthepost-earthquakefireispresented.TakingShanghaicentraldistrictasbackground,asystemforhazardanalysisofthepost-earthquakefireandauxili-arydecision-againstfireisdeveloped.
简介:Basedonlefttruncatedandrightcensoreddependentdata,theestimatorsofhigherderivativesofdensityfunctionandhazardratefunctionaregivenbykernelsmoothingmethod.Whenobserveddataexhibitα-mixingdependence,localpropertiesincludingstrongconsistencyandlawofiteratedlogarithmarepresented.Moreover,whenthemodeestimatorisdefinedastherandomvariablethatmaximizesthekerneldensityestimator,theasymptoticnormalityofthemodeestimatorisestablished.
简介:WecompilearegionalcatalogueofearthquakeswithmomentmagnitudeoftheCenter-SouthernAsiatestarea(20°-35°N,85°-105°E)fortheGlobalSeismicHazardAssessmentProgram(GSHAP).Therearesignificantinhomogeneousanduncompleteddata,andnuniformityofearthquakemagnitudesinthistestareabecausethisregionissituatedontheboundariesofmanycountries,suchasChina,India,Nepal,Vietnam,etc.WeestablisharelationshipbetweenGutenbergsurface-wavemagnitudeandIASPEIsurface-wavemagnitude,whichcanbeusedforconversionofdifferentmagnitudescalesintomomentmagnitudeforthiscatalogue.AcatalogueofeventswithMw≥6.0ofthistestareaisgivenattheendofthispaper.
简介:PhysiographyandsoilinMaeRimwatershed,ChiangMaiProvince,Thailandwereinvestigatedbyusingaerialphotographsandsatelliteimageinconjunctionwithfieldwork,andsoilinfiltrationrateandsoilshearresistanceweremeasuredinfield.ManyfactorsaffectingrunoffwereanalyzedusigtheIntegratedLandandWaterInformaitonSystem(ILWIS).Asaresult,amodeldeterminingfloodhazarwassetup.Threempsincludingrunoffcurvenumbermap,runoffcoefficentmap,andfloodinumdationmapwerecreated,Inaddition,thetimeofconcentrationwaspredicted.