简介:Appearanceandexhaustionoftheresourcecityisaninevitableobjectivephenomenonintheprocessofindustrialization.Transformationoftheresourcecitybecamethefocusofattentionwithhighlightingproblemsandcontradictionsinthecity.Thepaperplacesemphasisonpathselectionandtransformationstrategiesofresource-exhaustedcitytransformationtakingthecoalcityPingxiangasanexample.FromtheperspectiveofprofileandeffectivenessoftransformationinPingxiangcity,thepaperanalyzesthemainproblemsinthecitytransformation,pointsoutitsmainpathdirectionfromeconomictransformation,socialtransformationandecologicaltransformation,andfinallypresentstransitionstrategyandpolicyrecommendationstothecity.
简介:Thispapertakestheclimatechangeandlowcarboneconomydevelopmentasthestudybackground,basedontheanalysisofenergydemandandcarbonemissionsstatus,whichisaimedtoprovidethelowcarbondevelopmentpathinChinesecities.Themethodofscenarioanalysiscanbeusedtopredictlong-termstrategyfortheuncertaintyfuturedevelopment,anditwasintroducedtothefieldofsocialforecastingandpublicpolicyresearch,suchastheenvironmentalstrategicplanning,policyanalysis,andsupportofdecisioninresourcemanagement,whichcanbeusedtoexplorethepossibledevelopmenttrendandtargetoftheresultsfromthemacroperspective.Scenarioanalysishasbeengraduallyappliedtothestudyareaonlowcarboneconomy,energyforecastingandotherfieldsinrecentyears,andtherehavebeenmanyresearchresultsindifferentaspects.Thispapertakesthescenarioanalysisasbasicstudytheory,spreadingoutthepresentsituationofitsapplicationinlowcarboncityandsomeissuesthatneedfurtherstudy.Asatoolforpredictingthefuturedevelopmentinlowcarboncity,themethodofscenarioanalysishasbeenprovidingapowerfulreferenceforpoliciesandtheirexecutants.