Temporal and Spatial Evolution of Precursory Anomalies of the Wenchuan MS8.0 Earthquake and Their Mechanical Analysis-中国期刊网

摘要 Inordertostudythespatiotemporalevolutionoftheprecursoryanomalies10yearsbeforetheWenchuanMS8.0earthquakein2008,theepicentraldistanceoftheprecursoryanomaliesiscalculatedbyusingthegeometriccenteroftheruptureregionandtheellipticalcenterlineoftheaftershockregion.Theresultshows,precursoranomaliesgraduallyincreasedabout2yearsbeforetheWenchuanearthquake.Theratioofabnormalitemsisgreaterthan25%inthenearsourcearea(abouttwicethesourcescale)and17%-24%intheremotearea(about3-5timesthesourcescale).Therearethreedifferentstagesofspatiotemporalevolutionofprecursoryanomalies.Duringtheαstage(includingα1andα2,between700to3000daysbeforethemainearthquake),theanomaliesaremainlydistributedinthesouthwestandnorthwestareaoftheWenchuanaftershocksarea.Itisshownthattheprecursorsofthefarsourceregionandthenearsourceareahavethecharacteristicsofoutwardexpansion.Duringtheβstage(between300to700daysbeforethemainearthquake),theanomaliesaredistributedinthesouthwestandnorthernregionoftheaftershockregion,showingalargerangeofanomalies.Duringtheγstage(includingγ1andγ2,300daysbeforethemainearthquake),therangeofanomalydistributioniswide,andtheanomaliesaredistributedinthesouthwestandnortheastoftheaftershockarea.Theanomaliesconvergedtoepicenter(γ1)inthefarsourceregionandexpandoutwards(γ2)inthenearsourceregion.Resultsoftheexperimentalstudyandmechanicalanalysisofearthquakepreparationprocessindicatethatthethree-stagecharacteristicsofprecursoryanomaliesintheprocessofearthquakepreparationmaybecontrolledbytheseismogenicbody,whichisaformofexpressionintheprocessofearthquakepreparationandauniversalfeatureduringtheearthquakepreparationprocess,whichhasacertainguidingroleinearthquakeprediction.

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Temporal and Spatial Evolution of Precursory Anomalies of the Wenchuan MS8.0 Earthquake and Their Mechanical Analysis

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Temporal and Spatial Evolution of Precursory Anomalies of the Wenchuan MS8.0 Earthquake and Their Mechanical Analysis

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