摘要
ThepresentpaperanalyzeshistoricallytherelationshipbetweencarbonemissionandeconomicdevelopmentbydifferentstagesthroughadoptingelasticdecouplingmethodsandTapioevaluationcriteriaalongwithacomparisonwiththenationalFiveYearPlans.TheanalysisshowsthattheinfluencingfactorstotherelationshipbetweencarbonemissionandeconomyinChinaaredifferent,andeconomicdevelopmentandcarbonemissionhavelessconnectionintherecent30yearsofreformandopening-upinChina.Itisadifficulttasktorealizethepromisethatwewillreducecarbonemissionby40%-50%in2020basedonthedatafromhistoricalexperienceanddifferentexpectationsforeconomicdevelopmentfromeconomists.Throughconstructingthecalcula-tionmodelofcarbonemissionintensitygapaccordingtodifferentdevelopmentscenarios,theanalysisshowsthateconomicgrowth,infrastructureinvestmentandfurtherdevelopmentofindustrial-izationarethemaindriverstotheincreaseofcarbonemission,technologicalprogress,andparticularly,thereductionofenergyconsumptionistheprimarymeanstoreducecarbonemissioninChina.Itisimperativetotransformtheeconomicgrowthpattern,anditisagrandtasktoperformandthereisalongwaytogoforChinatomaintaineconomicgrowthandreducecarbonintensity.
出版日期
2012年02月12日（中国期刊网平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）
