摘要
Thepurposeofthispaperistostudythedynamicalmechanismoferrorgrowthinthenumericalweatherprediction.Theerrorisdefinedinthesenseofgeneralizedenergy,simplycalledenergyerror.Fromthespectralformoftheprimi-tiveequations,wehavederivedtheevolutionequationsoferrorindetail.Theanalysesoftheseequationshaveshownthattheerrorgrowthrateisdeterminedbythetangentlinearequations.Thenonlinearadvectioncausedbytheerrorperturbationitselfcontributesnothingtotheerrorgrowthrate,andonlyredistributestheerror.Furthermore,anap-proachtocalculationoftheerrorgrowthratehasbeendeveloped,whichcanalsobeusedtostudythelocalinstabilityoftime-independentbasicstateaswellastime-dependencebasicstate.Thisapproachisappliedtowell-knownLorenz’ssystem,andtheresultsareindicativeofthecorrectnessandsignificanceofthetheoreticalanalyses.
出版日期
1994年04月14日（中国期刊网平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）
